FLIP-FLOP POLITICS

By Brooke Adams, communications specialist, University Marketing and Communications

Hillary Clinton did it. So did George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush, Barack Obama and Jason Chaffetz.

Tamar A. Kreps

They flip-flopped.

In fact, many politicians are unable to navigate public careers without a flip-flop or two — and a new study led by Tamar A. Kreps, an assistant professor in the Department of Management, showed those changes of mind can be risky.

Kreps and her co-authors reported in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology that audiences believe moral commitments made by politicians should not be broken and view leaders who later change their minds as hypocritical, ineffective and not worthy of support.

“Leaders who take a moral stance look inspiring and persuasive at first, but we found in study after study that they end up looking worse if they change their minds,” Kreps said.

Kreps, working with colleagues at the University of British Columbia and Stanford University, looked at views of politicians who changed their minds after taking either a moral or pragmatic stand on an issue. The issues used in the scenarios were the death penalty and same-sex marriage.

The researchers theorized there were three possible ways audiences would respond to moral mind changers: they would view a leader as hypocritical; they would view a leader as making a courageous evolution in his or her thinking; or they would adopt a hypocritical or courageous evolution view of the leader depending on whether his or her new stance matched their own opinion on the issue.

A leader who takes a moral stance may appear more authentic, inspiring and as making decisions rooted in firm convictions.

But the researchers found audiences expect those leaders to stick to their opinions.

“People not only expect that others are likely to stick to their moral views, they see this commitment as a moral obligation and turn against those who break it,” they concluded.

Kreps found that audiences viewed a moral mind changer as a hypocrite even when they endorsed the new stance taken by the leader.

The team found a “glimmer of hope” for moral mind changers, however. Leaders were less likely to be viewed negatively when they tied their flip-flop to a personally transformative experience or, to a less extent, external circumstances beyond their control.

“These findings offer the only hope we were able to uncover that people might sometimes be willing to view a moral mind changer in a positive light,” the authors said.

But Kreps said the bottom line is this: Leaders who don’t want to risk a public backlash should avoid taking moral stands that aren’t based on enduring conviction.

  • Knut Scott Lindsley

    Well, we also have to look at the fact that legislation stemming from moral positions often have unintended consequences. Such as Clinton (Bill) later regretting mandatory minimums for drug convictions. So now we have people serving longer sentences for non-violent drug offences than a rapist or even some murderers. Which he now accepts as a mistake.

  • Colby

    This is a silly article. If you want to read the abridged version: “People don’t trust politicians who lie. If you are a politician only make moral stances that you actually believe in. Lying will come back to bite you.” My version: “Don’t trust career politicians, they only care about your vote and their own wealth.”